August 24th is Ukraine’s Independence Day, marking the 35th anniversary of the country’s separation from the Soviet Union. This year, the Ukraine-Russia comprehensive war has coincided with the 5th anniversary of Ukraine’s independence. The events of the past month have almost scripted the narrative for the upcoming year of war: Putin is preparing to mobilize 300,000 to 500,000 soldiers after the September parliamentary elections; the Donetsk fortress line is being slowly eroded inch by inch; North Korea may send another 30,000 troops to join the conflict; Britain has authorized the supply of Storm Shadow missiles for Ukraine to produce locally; and Ukraine, facing dwindling intercept missile inventory, has been forced to unveil a domestic air defense system during the war. Connecting these dots, we will examine the direction in which this war is heading.
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