As Typhoon Bavi approaches the Chinese coast, the Beijing Central Meteorological Observatory issued a red alert for heavy rain on July 11th. Zhejiang is experiencing strong winds and rain, leading to the cancellation of nearly 400 flights in Shanghai. Experts point out that the post-landing path of “Bavi” still has considerable uncertainty, with its impact covering a large part of China.
Official information indicates that the center of Typhoon Bavi (strong typhoon level) was located 460 kilometers southeast of the Zhejiang-Fujian border at 9 am on the 11th, with maximum winds near the center reaching level 14 (42 meters per second). It is expected that “Bavi” will land along the coast from Sanmen to Cangnan in Zhejiang in the early hours of the 12th (typhoon level, 12 to 13, 33 to 40 meters per second), and then move northwest to north-northwest. As a result, heavy to torrential rain is expected in eastern and northern Jiangnan, Jianghan, Jianghuai, Huanghuai regions, with some areas experiencing heavy rain and locally severe rainfalls.
At 10 am on the 11th, the Beijing Central Meteorological Observatory issued red alerts for heavy rain and orange alerts for the typhoon.
Meteorological experts warn that in the northern hemisphere, the right side of the typhoon’s direction of movement is known as the “dangerous semicircle,” where winds are stronger and precipitation is heavier. In Zhejiang’s northern regions and the Yangtze River Delta on the right side of Typhoon Bavi’s path, the impact of wind and rain may be more severe than at the landing site, with onshore winds potentially causing storm surges.
Chinese media reported that there is still significant uncertainty in the post-landing path of Typhoon Bavi, with a possibility of it moving further north inland.
Experts from the Beijing Central Meteorological Observatory stated that there are two possible scenarios for the subsequent path of Typhoon Bavi: it may weaken and dissipate as it moves west near the border of Hubei, Anhui, and Henan, or it may turn northeastward and affect the northern regions. Due to the outer circulation and distant moisture transport of Typhoon Bavi, significant rainfall is expected in Fujian, Zhejiang, Jiangxi, Hubei, Hunan, Anhui, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, and even northeastern China, covering a large part of the country.
From the 11th onwards, the strongest impact of wind and rain is expected. The Beijing Central Meteorological Observatory upgraded its red alert for heavy rain at 10 am on July 11th.
A red alert is the highest level of heavy rain warning. The last time the Central Meteorological Observatory issued a red alert for heavy rain was on June 29-30, 2024.
As Typhoon Bavi gradually nears the coast of Zhejiang and Fujian provinces in China, Shanghai’s two major airports plan to cancel nearly 400 flights on July 11th, while Hangzhou Airport will also cancel 198 flights, with several airports in Zhejiang suspending all flights on that day.
According to the Typhoon Bavi path and airport impact forecast map, it is projected that from the 11th to the 13th, 56 airports in China will be affected by “Bavi.”
From the 11th to the 14th, including the Hangzhou-Shenzhen, Beijing-Shanghai, Shanghai-Kunming, and Hefei-Fuzhou high-speed railways, as well as several regional railways, certain trains will be temporarily suspended on some segments and at specific times.