Typhoon “Bavi” landed in Zhejiang province twice on the night of July 11 (Saturday) around 11:20 pm and before and after midnight on July 12 with a maximum wind force of 13. The China Central Meteorological Observatory has issued a red alert for heavy rain for the first time in two years. It is expected that widespread heavy rainfall will affect more than ten provinces.
China Central Meteorological Observatory issued the first red alert for heavy rain in two years on July 11 at 10:00. Between 2:00 pm on July 11 and 2:00 pm on July 12, heavy rain is expected in Zhejiang, northern Fujian, northeastern Jiangxi, southern Anhui, Beijing, northern Tianjin, central and northern Hebei, southeastern Inner Mongolia, western and northern Liaoning, central and eastern Jilin, central and southern Shaanxi, central and southern Shanxi, southeastern Qinghai, southwestern Gansu, western Sichuan Basin, northern and western Yunnan, etc. Parts of eastern and southern Zhejiang, northern Fujian, northeastern Jiangxi, Beijing, northern Tianjin, central and northern Hebei, northern Liaoning, central Jilin, western Sichuan Basin, may experience heavy rain. Local areas may even face severe heavy rain. Some areas, such as northeastern and southern Beijing and central and northeastern Hebei, could see 250-280 mm of rainfall, while eastern and southern Zhejiang, and northern Fujian, may experience 250-500 mm of rainfall.
The forecast for some areas includes short-duration heavy rainfall (with hourly rainfall of 20-50 mm, locally exceeding 80 mm) and strong convective weather such as thunderstorms, strong winds, or hail.
A red alert is the highest level of warning for heavy rain. The last time the Central Meteorological Observatory issued a red alert for heavy rain was on June 29-30, 2024.
According to the China Central Meteorological Observatory, Typhoon “Bavi” (Typhoon level) made landfall twice on the coastal areas of Yuhuan City, Zhejiang Province, around 11:20 pm on July 11, and later in Qingjiang Town, Leqing City, Wenzhou, around midnight on July 12. The typhoon made landfall with a maximum wind force of 13, bringing continued heavy rain to southern Zhejiang.
The path of this typhoon is quite exceptional, as it made consecutive landfalls within just one hour in Yuhuan, Taizhou, and Leqing, Wenzhou, with a complete circulation structure. The weakening speed of its intensity is much slower than that of a typical typhoon. The huge cloud system is causing continuous strong winds and heavy rain over Taizhou and Wenzhou, with intense rainfall in Lishui and eastern Jinhua.
The Zhejiang Meteorological Observatory forecasts that after making landfall, “Bavi” will continue to move northwest with diminishing strength, and is expected to move out of Zhejiang and enter Anhui on the afternoon of July 12 (Sunday).
After landing, on July 12, there will be heavy to severe rainfall in western Zhejiang, with some areas experiencing severe heavy rain. Other regions may have showers or thunderstorms with moderate to heavy rainfall, while coastal areas may face local heavy rainfall, and some areas may have severe heavy rain.
During the day on July 12, the coastal areas of southern Zhejiang will experience gusts of 11-14 levels, locally reaching 15-16 levels, while the coastal areas of northern Zhejiang and the Hangzhou Bay water surface will have gusts of 10-13 levels. Inland areas will have gusts of 8-11, reaching 12 levels in some areas, with high mountain and coastal regions experiencing gusts of 13-15 levels. By the night of July 12, the gusts will weaken to 9-11 levels on the coastal sea area of Zhejiang and 7-9 levels inland.
The Central Meteorological Observatory forecasts that Typhoon “Bavi” will be the strongest typhoon to land in China in 2026. After landing, it will continue to bring strong winds and rain to Fujian and Zhejiang, then move further inland. Due to its large size, heavy rainfall will affect more than ten provinces and regions, including Jiangxi, Anhui, Hubei, Henan, Hebei, Tianjin, and Beijing.
According to the Central Meteorological Observatory, due to the influence of the southwest monsoon and Typhoon “Bavi”, the next three days will see heavy to severe rainfall in East China, North China, Northeast China, the eastern part of Northwest China, and the Sichuan Basin, with some areas experiencing severe heavy rain and locally extremely heavy rain.
Analysis from the China Weather Network suggests that due to the large size and strength of Typhoon “Bavi”, its impact will be long-lasting and extensive, with sustained strong winds in the southeastern coastal areas. After its landfall, “Bavi” will move further inland, bringing heavy rain to Jiangxi, Anhui, and other regions on July 12 and 13. The residual circulation of “Bavi” will continue to move northward after July 13, while the low-level water vapor transport will continue. This will result in significant rainfall in the Huanghuai and North China regions from July 13 to 14, and strong rainfall in the Northeast and other areas from July 14 to 15.
Nanjing Meteorological Observatory upgraded to issue an orange typhoon warning at 00:02 on July 12: due to the influence of Typhoon “Bavi”, Nanjing will experience strong winds from July 12 to 13, with the maximum gusts on land reaching 9-10 levels and 10-12 levels on the water surface, possibly accompanied by short-duration heavy rainfall.
The meteorological observatories of cities like Zhenjiang, Changzhou, Suzhou, Nantong, and Wuxi have also issued orange typhoon warnings, forecasting an increase in wind intensity, heavy rainfall, and severe weather conditions in the respective regions from July 12 to 13.