Renowned legal expert Yuan Hongbing, who resides in Australia, recently granted an exclusive interview to Taiwanese media, delving deep into the current political, military, and diplomatic strategies of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). In his analysis, he not only revealed the power struggles within Xi Jinping’s regime and the true intentions behind their strategies towards Taiwan but also startlingly exposed the CCP’s “doomsday madness” strategy in response to international changes. This includes revelations of defections of officials from the CCP’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and a major purge among military top brass, which has garnered significant attention from observers.
Leading up to the CCP Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s visit to Europe earlier this month, he reportedly confided in the European Union’s High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Kaja Kallas, about Beijing’s concerns over Russia’s potential failures in the Ukraine conflict and the subsequent strategic shift of focus towards China by the United States. Wang Yi’s rare public statement on this matter has sparked broad international attention, as reported by the South China Morning Post.
Former professor from Peking University’s Law School, Yuan Hongbing, highlighted in a recent episode of Taiwan’s “Frontline Politics and Economics” program that Wang Yi’s public declaration in Europe was a demonstration of “loyalty” towards Russia. Yuan explained that this gesture was in response to an incident in May where a mid-level official from the CCP’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs defected to Russia due to internal conflicts, bringing with them highly sensitive documents, including contingency plans for CCP’s response to potential failures in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict.
Yuan Hongbing previously revealed this incident to “Vision Times” earlier this month, drawing attention from international public opinion.
He further elaborated that Russia strongly protested against this, citing their powerful nuclear arsenal and strategic position through diplomatic channels to the CCP, emphasizing their crucial role in the depth of the Taiwan Strait conflict and as a logistical base for energy resources. This situation triggered an “extreme strategic panic” among CCP top leadership, as Russia holds significance in a potential conflict in the Taiwan Strait. Wang Yi’s actions were aimed at publicly appeasing the Russians and reaffirming support. Shortly after, Russia repatriated the defecting Chinese diplomat.
Yuan Hongbing pointed out that Xi Jinping’s control over the military is in a delicate state of “either holding on too tight or not tight enough.” Through intelligence agency domination and the establishment of a filing system within the Central Military Commission Chairman’s Office, Xi exercises comprehensive personal control over officials above the rank of general. However, the aspect of “not tight enough” is reflected in Xi’s demand for “absolute loyalty” from military officers.
He emphasized that Xi Jinping judges a military officer’s “absolute loyalty” based on two core criteria: whether they agree with his “Taiwan decisive battle” grand strategy and whether they support his fundamental strategy of initiating a Taiwan Strait conflict and engaging in a decisive battle with the United States.
Using Liu Yazhou as an example, Yuan highlighted that Liu Yazhou was purged due to disagreement with this particular strategy. Even Maohua, who was promoted by Xi Jinping himself, had doubts regarding the possibility of success in a Taiwan Strait conflict. In the Maohua case, he and his aides disclosed over three thousand officials who were not loyal to Xi Jinping, including those colluding with the Jiang Mianheng faction.
Yuan Hongbing disclosed that in the thirteen years since Xi Jinping came to power, approximately 700,000 senior officials within the CCP’s party, government, and military have been purged, with over 100 generals among them.
Yuan Hongbing believes that everything Xi Jinping is currently undertaking is in preparation for initiating a conflict in the Taiwan Strait. Xi Jinping firmly believes that engaging in a decisive battle in the Taiwan Strait with the United States will not only solve all his political, economic, and cultural predicaments but also establish an enduring legacy for the CCP’s authoritarian rule, thus reducing America to a second-rate regional power. This ambitious strategy of “rising in the East and declining in the West” is his inner excitement, contrary to the speculations of Harvard University professors about a potential assault on Siberia.
Yuan insisted that Xi Jinping’s ultimate goal is lifelong rule, similarly to Mao Zedong’s aspiration to die at the height of supreme power rather than merely being reelected for a few terms. He is a dictator who cannot contemplate stepping down, as doing so would signify losing everything. To achieve this aim, he is pushing the economy towards a militaristic path, with a frenzy of growth in military budgets and armaments, a substantial increase in nuclear weapons, and establishing decision-making coordination mechanisms to enhance personal dictatorial efficiency.
In his concluding remarks, Yuan Hongbing summarized that humanity is currently facing an unprecedented powerful centralized dictatorship – the CCP’s authoritarian rule. Holding sway over 1.4 billion people, vast natural resources, nuclear weapons, aircraft carrier technology, and unabashed global expansion ambitions, the international community must seriously consider how to deal with this “21st-century human catastrophe.”
He stressed that the conflict has essentially already begun; it is a comprehensive battle of awareness. Yuan urged all think tanks, scholars, and politicians to focus their thoughts on “how to overcome this evil CCP tyranny” rather than expecting it to crumble on its own.