Taiwanese meteorologists have indicated that a cold front will move south on the 12th, leading to a drop in temperatures on the 13th. By the afternoon of the 14th, the weather will turn significantly colder, marking the strongest cold air mass since the start of winter. Temperatures in some areas could dip below 10 degrees Celsius from the 14th to the early morning of the 16th. Citizens are advised to stay warm during this period.
Associate Professor Wu Derong from the Department of Atmospheric Sciences at National Central University in Taiwan shared his insights on the weather forecast program “Sanli Zhunqi Meteorology – Heaven’s Secrets Revealed.” According to the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model simulation as of 8 p.m. on the 10th, the western half of Taiwan can expect mostly sunny skies, while the eastern half may experience brief localized showers. The daytime will be comfortably warm with cool mornings and evenings.
Wu pointed out that starting tonight, as the cold front approaches, the probability of localized short-term rain in northern Taiwan will gradually increase. The temperature ranges across different regions are expected to be 14 to 25 degrees Celsius in the north, 14 to 28 degrees Celsius in the central areas, 15 to 29 degrees Celsius in the south, and 15 to 30 degrees Celsius in the east.
He further mentioned that the most recent model simulations suggest that on the 12th, the cold front will move south, bringing localized rain to northern and eastern Taiwan. By the afternoon of the 13th, a surge of cold air will descend after the front, causing temperatures to drop progressively colder as the evening approaches. The weather will be initially damp and cold, but will turn dry and cold from the afternoon of the 14th onwards, requiring extra attention to warmth for health reasons.
The latest data from various international models have indicated that this cold air mass is the strongest since the beginning of winter. From the 14th to the early morning of the 16th, some low-lying areas might experience temperatures below 10 degrees Celsius, potentially prompting the issuance of a “low-temperature warning.” There is also the possibility of challenging the intensity of the first “strong continental cold air mass.”
As for when temperatures in Taiwan will rise again, Wu mentioned that from the daytime of the 16th to the 18th, the cold air will gradually weaken, leading to a slow temperature recovery. However, the northern parts of Taiwan may still feel relatively cold. Models from various countries suggest that the next wave will bring another strong cold air mass, but the timing and differences in its southern impact are significant. The intensity is also subject to adjustments, requiring continuous monitoring.
The Taiwan Central Weather Bureau posted on its Facebook page that starting from the 12th, there will be a gradual cooling trend with the northeast monsoon and cold air masses taking turns. As the days pass, temperatures will continue to decrease. During the influence of the cold air, strong winds and high waves are expected at sea. Citizens are urged to limit seaside activities, prioritize safety, watch out for weather changes, add appropriate clothing in time, and be cautious with warming devices such as gas water heaters to prevent incidents like fires, burns, and carbon monoxide poisoning.