The 20th Third Plenary Session of the Chinese Communist Party, originally scheduled to be held last autumn but repeatedly delayed, has now been set to convene in mid-July. According to various signals released by the authorities prior to the meeting, scholar Yuan Hongbing believes that the Chinese Communist regime is currently in a dilemma. He predicts that after the Third Plenary Session, there will be no improvement in the regime’s governance, and it will rapidly slide further into the abyss of destruction.
Officially announced by the Chinese Communist Party, the theme of this Third Plenary Session is reportedly to “study further comprehensive deepening reforms and promote China’s modernization in a Chinese way,” while emphasizing to “uphold the overall leadership of the Party,” ensuring that the reforms are carried out in the direction deemed “correct” by the CCP.
Australian legal scholar Yuan Hongbing stated to Epoch Times on July 9 that the CCP’s expressions are filled with sharp contradictions. Throughout the history of the so-called reform and opening up by the CCP, a key feature has been the weakening of the Party’s intervention in economic activities, which is essential for the development of a market economy. Strengthening the Party’s control over governance implies entrapping the market economy within the political logic of the CCP, which will inevitably lead to its contraction.
“On one hand, there is talk of strengthening the Party’s leadership, while on the other hand, there is the intention to deepen reform and opening up, and promote a market economy. This is a discourse full of inherent contradictions. Under this contradictory guiding ideology, China’s economy will only further deteriorate, and its politics will increasingly gravitate towards reactionary personal autocracy.”
He believes that the current CCP regime has already found itself in a dilemma.
Xi Jinping mentioned at a Political Bureau learning meeting in June that the CCP is facing “four tests and four dangers,” with the “four major tests” being governance, reform and opening up, market economy, and external environment; and the “four dangers” being danger of spiritual laxity, capability insufficiency, getting disconnected from the people, and passive corruption.
Research shows that in 2011, former CCP leader Hu Jintao mentioned the “four major tests” and “four major dangers” that the CCP was facing in his speech commemorating the 90th anniversary of the Party’s founding. Similar statements were also made by Xi Jinping at the 19th CCP National Congress in 2018.
Yuan Hongbing stated that in recent years, the CCP has been moving backwards, tightening control in ideology, retreating from the economy as the nation advances, implementing dynamic zero-Covid policies, turning cities into concentration camps, which vividly embody the so-called four major tests and four major dangers of the CCP. The current authorities under Xi Jinping lack the capability to solve the CCP’s problems. The “four major tests and four major dangers vividly depict the doomsday scenario of the CCP’s tyranny.”
He further mentioned that traditionally, the Third Plenary Session of each CCP National Congress is meant to address economic issues. Many people’s opinions or expectations regarding the Third Plenary Session are focused on economic problems. However, the biggest issue Xi Jinping faces now is political, concentrated on disloyalty within politics.
“His officials, his confidants, are politically disloyal to him. The concrete manifestation of political disloyalty is being two-faced: flattering and fawning in front of him, yet expressing grievances and complaints against his governance behind his back.”
He believes that through this Third Plenary Session, the CCP aims to portray an illusion of reform and economic development to overcome political challenges. Yet, the economy is currently plummeting, local finances are on the brink of bankruptcy, people’s livelihoods are deteriorating, and even the salaries and welfare benefits of government officials are no longer guaranteed. The authorities will find it difficult to establish political authority by merely convening a meeting and speaking empty words.
“After the Third Plenary Session, not only will there be no improvement in the authorities’ governance, but they will also rapidly descend into the depths of destruction.”
In recent days, southern China has been experiencing heavy rainfall. On July 5, the embankment of Dongting Lake in Huarong County, Yueyang City, Hunan Province collapsed. The local government attempted to block the breach with sand, but failed, leading to the embankment breaking. Interestingly, a truck carrying sand to fill the gap was found with a red banner promoting flood prevention. This incident has sparked public doubts about the authenticity and wisdom of such actions.
It was not until a day later, on July 6, that official media released reports of the “Minister of Water Resources rushing to the front line of the breach,” “the first batch of armed police officers have arrived,” and directives from CCP leaders for rescue efforts.
Online reports revealed a red-headed document released by the Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters of Huarong County on the day of the embankment breach (July 5), instructing public officials not to disseminate information to the public.
Furthermore, Epoch Times has recently reported on floods in various regions, highlighting that official flood releases have exacerbated the disaster and stirred public resentment.
Yuan Hongbing pointed out that the current situation in China is a mix of natural disasters and, more importantly, man-made disasters, but of a different nature than before. As many CCP officials are two-faced individuals, one of their typical behaviors is to slack off and neglect their duties. Therefore, when faced with natural disasters, the entire national machinery malfunctions, leading to absurd situations.
“Any sensible person knows that to block such a large breach, you need sandbags and huge stones. Yet, the CCP officials used trucks to carry fine sand and tried to plug the breach in the embankment. How could that even work? It can only be seen as officials exploiting such actions for internal propaganda, deceiving both the public and Xi Jinping.”
Yuan Hongbing directly stated that the widespread laziness and neglect of duty among officials pose another major crisis for the Xi Jinping regime. If this situation escalates further, resulting in a nationwide revolt and people’s uprising, it is highly likely to occur.