As the New York City mayoral election is entering its final countdown, multiple latest polls show that Democratic mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani continues to maintain a double-digit lead, although the margin of lead has slightly varied in different surveys.
According to a poll conducted by Quinnipiac University from October 23 to 27, Mamdani leads with 43% of support, ahead of Stringer’s 33%; the Republican mayoral candidate Curtis Sliwa has gained 14%. Compared to the beginning of the month, Mamdani’s lead has decreased slightly from 13 percentage points to 10 percentage points, indicating that Stringer has made some progress in the final stages of the campaign, but has not yet shaken Mamdani’s advantage.
At the same time, the Quinnipiac poll also indicates that the proportion of undecided voters has increased by 3%, which may bring a slight variable to the election. Mary Snow, Assistant Director of the Quinnipiac poll, said, “Voters have largely formed their opinions, but the increase of undecided voters signifies that some changes may still occur in the final stages.”
Stringer has been working hard recently to narrow the gap with Mamdani, increasing criticisms towards him. Super Political Action Committees supporting Stringer have also invested millions of dollars in advertising, claiming that he is the only candidate with a real chance to defeat the frontrunner and urging conservative voters who support Sliwa to switch their votes to him.
Emerson College, PIX11, and The Hill jointly released the latest poll on Thursday (October 30), where Mamdani’s support reached 50%, Stringer 25%, Sliwa 21%, and 5% of voters remained undecided. This poll shows the largest lead for Mamdani.
Spencer Kimball, the Director of Polling at Emerson College, analyzed that Mamdani’s increase in support is mainly attributed to widespread support from African American and young voters. “His support among black voters has risen from 50% last month to 71%, and nearly 70% of voters under 50 support him.”
Another poll released by Marist University in late October shows that Mamdani leads with 48% support over Stringer’s 32%, with a lead of 16 percentage points, almost consistent with the September survey, indicating a relatively stable voter structure.