Two new polls show a significant decrease in support for President Biden, the Democratic candidate and incumbent, among Hispanic voters, who are a key constituency for the Democratic party, in the 2024 US presidential election. Meanwhile, support for the presumed Republican nominee, former President Trump, is notably on the rise.
According to a joint poll released on April 13 by The New York Times and Siena College in New York, in a question-and-answer format asking respondents to choose between Biden and Trump, 50% of Hispanic respondents said they would vote for Biden, marking the lowest level of support among Democrats, while 41% indicated they would support Trump, which is considered relatively high among Republicans.
In another set of questions involving expanding the list of 2024 presidential candidates to include independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr among others, Biden’s support among Hispanic voters dropped significantly to 41%, whereas Trump’s decline was less pronounced, falling only to 38%.
A joint poll released on April 9 by the US news website Axios and Ipsos Group also reflected a similar trend. The poll results indicated a 12-percentage-point decline in Biden’s support among Hispanic voters over the past three years, dropping from 53% to 41%, while Trump’s support among Hispanic voters, though still low at 32%, had increased by approximately 8 percentage points since the survey conducted in 2021.
These poll results serve as a strong warning for Biden as they show him losing the support of Hispanic voters, a crucial voting bloc for the Democratic party. Particularly concerning is the lack of support the Democratic incumbent has garnered among young Hispanic male voters. Simultaneously, it appears that Trump, the Republican, is gaining support among Hispanic voters.
Chris Jackson, Senior Vice President for Public Affairs at Ipsos, noted, “Most significantly, Biden’s numbers are down, and that’s a real story.”
Jackson explained that the Hispanic Americans surveyed are most concerned about the significant inflation and rising cost of living during Biden’s administration, while “Trump is getting a lot of credit for the pre-pandemic economy.”
Jackson and some other political observers believe that for Hispanic voters, issues related to everyday economic concerns outweigh the emphasis Biden places on “saving democracy” and abortion during his campaign.
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