After the “Hush Money Case” verdict, a recent poll revealed a change in how American voters view the presumed presidential candidates of both parties.
Released by Emerson College on Thursday (June 6th), the poll showed that in the 2024 presidential election, 46% of voters support Trump, while 45% support the incumbent President Biden. Furthermore, 9% remain undecided. Trump’s support in the poll has remained steady since last month, while Biden’s support has increased by one percentage point. When asked which candidate the undecided voters lean towards, the results showed a tie – 50% supporting Trump and 50% supporting Biden.
Regarding Trump being convicted by a New York jury of 34 serious crimes, 40% of respondents said it would not impact their vote in the upcoming November election. However, 33% of voters stated that this has decreased their likelihood of voting for Trump in the election, while 27% said their support for Trump has actually increased.
Spencer Kimball, the director of the Emerson College poll, said: “Trump’s support in our poll remained unchanged before and after his conviction.”
He also pointed out that aside from most supporters within each candidate’s respective party still standing by their party’s candidate, 41% of independents stated that Trump’s conviction would not affect their vote, and 58% of undecided voters echoed the same sentiment.
Regarding Trump’s sentencing scheduled for July, Kimball stated: “Opinions on Trump’s sentencing vary by party: 67% of Democrats believe Trump should serve prison time, while 46% of Republicans think he should pay a fine. Among independents, 42% feel he should serve time, 22% believe he should pay a fine, and 14% think he should be put on probation.”
After including third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in this poll, Trump’s support dropped by two percentage points from 46% to 44%, and Biden’s support decreased by seven percentage points from 45% to 38%. 9% of respondents remain undecided.
The poll was conducted from June 4th to 5th, surveying 1000 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points.