Taiwanese meteorologists have indicated that Taiwan is experiencing hot and humid weather today (25th). A tropical disturbance located in the eastern sea of the Philippines is expected to develop into a typhoon starting from the 28th, requiring continuous monitoring.
The Central Weather Bureau of Taiwan reported that as of 8 a.m. today, the center of Typhoon Swordfish was located at 18.4 degrees north latitude and 107.1 degrees east longitude, moving at a speed of 11 kilometers per hour in a northwest direction. The central pressure is 945 hectopascals, with maximum sustained winds near the center at 43 meters per second and maximum gusts at 53 meters per second. The radius of strong gale winds extends up to 180 kilometers (230 kilometers on the northwest side, 230 kilometers on the northeast side, 130 kilometers on the southwest side, and 140 kilometers on the southeast side), and the radius of storm force winds is about 80 kilometers (100 kilometers on the northwest side, 100 kilometers on the northeast side, 60 kilometers on the southwest side, and 70 kilometers on the southeast side).
According to Wu Derong, associate professor at the Department of Atmospheric Sciences at National Central University in Taiwan, the latest European model simulation (ECMWF) indicates that from today until the 29th, it will be partly cloudy with extreme heat reaching around 38 degrees Celsius. Sun protection and prevention of heat stroke are advised.
Wu mentioned that moisture is increasing in the south, with occasional brief showers expected in the Hualien-Taitung area and Pingtung. The atmosphere is unstable, leading to localized showers or thunderstorms in mountainous areas in the afternoon, with a chance of extending to plains in the central and southern regions. Caution should be taken for the occurrence of severe thunderstorms.
He further explained that based on the latest European model simulation, from the 30th to the 31st, moisture will move northward in the south, resulting in partly cloudy skies with continued heat. There will be occasional brief showers in eastern Taiwan and Pingtung, with a chance of localized showers or thunderstorms in various regions in the afternoon, including the possibility of severe thunderstorms.
As of 2 a.m. on the 25th, the Weather Bureau’s “Path Potential Forecast Map” showed that Typhoon Swordfish No. 13 was located in the southwestern sea near Hainan Island and is expected to make landfall in Vietnam this afternoon.
Furthermore, Wu pointed out that another tropical disturbance is brewing in the eastern sea of the Philippines. The latest European model simulation suggests that starting from the 28th, it will gradually develop into a typhoon in the South China Sea, moving in a northwest direction similar to Swordfish. However, as the simulations progress over time, uncertainties increase, requiring continuous observation.