Hello everyone, welcome to “News Talk” with me, Fu Yao. Today is November 22, Wednesday.
In this episode of “News Talk”, I will be joined by Deputy Researcher Li Zhengxiu from the Taiwan National Policy Research Foundation, host Mark from the Military Channel “Mark’s Time and Space”, and Qin Peng, a current affairs commentator and senior political and economic analyst, to analyze together.
Today’s focus: Nuclear weapons deployed, escalation of war! Russia’s hypersonic latest weapons on the battlefield, is there more to come? How will Trump stop the war? Will he open up for negotiations, while Putin sets two conditions!
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On November 21, the Ukrainian Air Force stated that the Russian military launched new weapons in an attack on the city of Dnipro, causing damage to an industrial enterprise, igniting a fire in Dnipro, and injuring two people.
Preliminary speculation suggests that the new weapon used by Russia may be the Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) RS-26 “Frontier” missile. If confirmed, this would be the first time in history a country has been subjected to ICBM combat.
Later, Russian President Putin, in a speech on Thursday evening local time, stated that Russia had launched a new hypersonic intermediate-range ballistic missile called “Hazelnut” (Oreshnik), with an attack speed of up to 10 times the speed of sound, claiming that there is currently no air defense or anti-missile system capable of intercepting or countering it.
Putin stated that this was a direct response to the joint approval by the United States and the United Kingdom for Ukraine to use Western-supplied long-range missiles.
The day before, Ukraine launched the “Storm Shadow” cruise missile at Russia. “Storm Shadow” cruise missile is a missile jointly manufactured by the UK and France, with a cost exceeding 1 million US dollars.
On the same day, US President Biden authorized Ukraine to use “anti-personnel landmines”. President Biden also approved Ukraine’s use of the US ATACMS “Army Tactical Missile System” on November 17th.
The Ukrainian Air Force stated that the missiles recently launched by Russia were fired from the Astrakhan region of Russia, over 700 kilometers (435 miles) from Dnipro in eastern Ukraine. It is said that the range of the “Dagger” missile exceeds 2,000 kilometers, far exceeding the distance between the two locations. However, Russia still launched the “Hazelnut” missile. Why did Russia do this? Is this retaliation a bit too harsh?
In his speech on Thursday, Putin also threatened all countries supplying weapons to Ukraine, claiming that Russia has the right to use force to strike those countries’ military facilities. However, several Western countries supported Ukraine. Is Putin declaring war on the West?
Prior to responding to the US authorization for Ukraine to use the “Army Tactical Missile System”, Putin relaxed Russia’s “Basic policy of a nuclear deterrent state”.
The new policy states that a non-nuclear state initiating an attack against Russia with the support of a nuclear-armed state will be considered a joint attack on Russia.
According to the policy amendment, the use of conventional missiles, drones, or aircraft for a large-scale attack on Russia could potentially meet the criteria for a nuclear counterattack. An attack on Belarus or any serious threat to Russia’s sovereignty could also meet the criteria for a nuclear counterattack.
By easing restrictions on the use of nuclear weapons, will we see more similar actions in the future? What impact will this have on the situation?
Unlike President Biden who supports Ukraine, President-elect Trump has advocated for “America First” and expressed hopes to facilitate “peace talks” between Kiev and Moscow. Trump has also stated that he could end the Russia-Ukraine war within hours and that he would engage in direct dialogue with Putin.
Given Trump’s style, can he really end the 1000-day Russia-Ukraine war within hours? What needs to be done to achieve this?
Recently, five current and former Russian officials familiar with the Kremlin’s internal affairs anonymously disclosed Putin’s recent intentions. They told Reuters that Putin is open to a “ceasefire agreement” with incoming US President Trump, indicating a potential space for mediation. Russia is basically willing to “freeze the conflict”, but with conditions: Russia will not compromise on any major territorial issues, and Ukraine should “maintain neutrality”, meaning it cannot join NATO, and NATO countries’ troops cannot be stationed in Ukraine. However, will Ukraine easily agree to Putin’s conditions?
US officials stated that Ukrainian authorities had received briefings from the US before the attacks to help them prepare.
Moreover, a day earlier, the Consular Affairs Bureau of the US Department of State issued a statement saying that the US Embassy in Kiev, Ukraine, will be closed due to significant aerial attack intelligence. Embassy personnel were instructed to take refuge in place.
UK Defense Minister John Healey believes that the frontline situation in the Ukrainian battlefield is more unstable now than at any time after Russia’s full-scale aggression in 2022.
How long will this “unstable state” last? Recently, both Russia and Ukraine have been escalating their attacks continuously. When will this 33-month war come to an end?
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