The United States presidential election has entered its final sprint phase, with several latest national polls showing that the support rates of Trump and Harris are equally matched, with neither leading by more than 5 percentage points. Overall, as the election enters the final three weeks, competition is intensifying, with Harris’s nomination advantage weakening at this stage, while Trump’s support is gradually rising.
According to the latest polls by ABC News and Ipsos, Harris is expected to garner 50% support among likely voters, leading Trump by 48%; among registered voters, her support stands at 49%, still ahead of Trump’s 47%. In the broader category of all adults, the gap between the two has narrowed to 1%, within a margin of error of 2%, excluding those who do not intend to vote.
Poll results show that Trump’s support started to rise from mid-September when he was trailing Harris by 5 percentage points in one survey.
This poll was conducted from October 4 to October 8.
A survey conducted by CBS and YouGov shows that Harris is poised to receive 51% support among likely voters, leading Trump’s 48%.
Although Harris’s support has dropped by 1 percentage point from September, she still maintains a slight lead outside the margin of error of 2.3%.
This poll was conducted from October 8 to October 11.
Another survey conducted by NBC among registered voters shows that both candidates have a support rate of 48%. Trump has risen by 4 percentage points, while Harris has dropped by 1 percentage point.
If the poll range is expanded to all candidates, the Republican candidate’s support will lead the Democratic candidate with 47% against 46%.
This poll was conducted from October 4 to October 8.
According to polling conducted by The Wall Street Journal in battleground states such as Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, the competition in these swing states is equally fierce.
In a survey of 600 respondents, Trump leads Harris by 46% to 45% in one of the states.
Harris holds a slight edge in the other four states.
Polls conducted by The New York Times and Sienna College show Harris leading Trump in Pennsylvania with 50% support versus 47% for Trump.
Meanwhile, Trump leads in Arizona with 51% support against Harris’s 46%.
This week, both Trump and Harris have increased their campaign activities in swing states.
Harris plans to visit Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia. Her running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, will also appear in North Carolina.
Trump, on the other hand, plans to hold events in Pennsylvania and Georgia. His vice-presidential candidate, Ohio Senator JD Vance, will visit Pennsylvania and North Carolina alone.